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Master's Dissertation
DOI
https://doi.org/10.11606/D.96.2021.tde-27102021-111148
Document
Author
Full name
Renan Henrique de Oliveira
E-mail
Institute/School/College
Knowledge Area
Date of Defense
Published
Ribeirão Preto, 2021
Supervisor
Committee
Silva, Roseli da (President)
Gomes, Fabio Augusto Reis
Rocha, Bruno de Paula
Soave, Gian Paulo
Title in Portuguese
Impactos distributivos de política monetária: estudo de modelo TANK calibrado para Brasil
Keywords in Portuguese
DSGE
Impacto distributivo
Política monetária
TANK
Abstract in Portuguese
Esta dissertação tem como objetivo analisar impactos distributivos de diferentes regras de política monetária a partir de um modelo TANK de pequena economia aberta com quatro fontes de choques exógenos - produtividade no setor de bens transacionáveis; produtividade no setor de bens não-transacionáveis; termo de troca; e taxa de juros estrangeira - calibrado para o Brasil. Após choque positivo de produtividade no setor de bens transacionáveis, as famílias dos dois setores têm maiores efeitos positivos sobre consumo e salário quanto maior for a composição de bens transacionáveis no produto. Também é analisado o impacto de diferentes regras monetárias para famílias caracterizadas como "pobres" e "ricas", as quais variam em elasticidade de substituição entre bens e elasticidade de oferta de trabalho. O principal resultado é que no longo prazo, consumo e salário de ambas as famílias, após choque positivo de produtividade no setor de bens transacionáveis, têm melhores efeitos sob regra monetária de meta de inflação estrita, sendo que as famílias "pobres" são as mais beneficiadas.
Title in English
Distributional effects of monetary policy: calibrated to Brazil TANK model study
Keywords in English
Distributional effect
DSGE
Heterogeneous agents
Monetary policy
TANK
Abstract in English
The goal of this work is to analyze distributional effects of different monetary policy rules based on a TANK model of small and open economy with four exogenous shock sources - tradable goods sector productivity; nontradable goods sector productivity; terms of trade; and foreign interest rate - calibrated to Brazil. After positive tradable goods sector productivity shock, families of the two sectors face bigger effects on consumption and salary inasmuch as the share of tradable goods on output is bigger. It is also analysed the effect of different monetary rules to families caracterized as "poor" and "rich", which vary in elasticity of substitution between goods and elasticity of labor offer. The main result of the scenario analysis is that in the long run, after a positive productivity shock on tradable goods sector, consumption and salary of both families have better effects under strict inflation targeting rule, and "poor" families benefit the most.
 
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Publishing Date
2021-11-10
 
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