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Master's Dissertation
DOI
https://doi.org/10.11606/D.11.2022.tde-13072022-085122
Document
Author
Full name
Maria Eduarda de Paula Fernandes
E-mail
Institute/School/College
Knowledge Area
Date of Defense
Published
Piracicaba, 2022
Supervisor
Committee
Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza (President)
Santos, Cárliton Vieira dos
Silva, Adriana Ferreira
Spolador, Humberto Francisco Silva
Title in Portuguese
Progresso técnico no setor agropecuário e transferência de renda no Brasil
Keywords in Portuguese
Modelos de EGC
Produtividade
Transferência de renda
Abstract in Portuguese
O crescimento econômico de qualquer economia está associado ao crescimento de sua produtividade. No setor agropecuário essa medida passou a ser notória a partir de meados da década de 1990, associada a reformas macroeconômicas e setoriais ocorridas no país no período. A elevação do progresso técnico produz efeito ao longo de toda a cadeia agropecuária, implicando em efeitos sobre a sociedade e avaliar a distribuição desses ganhos tecnológicos para os agentes econômicos como produtores e consumidores é um assunto ainda pouco explorado na literatura. Nesse sentido, o objetivo desse estudo consistiu em estimar a transferência de renda gerada pela mudança tecnológica no setor agropecuário brasileiro e avaliar a quem se destina a renda oriunda da produção agropecuária. Utilizou-se um modelo inter-regional de Equilíbrio Geral Computável (EGC) dinâmico-recursivo, TERM-BR, com informações de evolução de área e de produção do setor agropecuário no período de 2005 a 2019. Os resultados obtidos apontaram que o progresso técnico no setor agropecuário no período de 2006 a 2019 resultou em benefícios econômicos como crescimento de 10,7% no consumo real das famílias e de 9,27% no PIB. Foi possível captar também efeitos sobre o consumo das famílias, no qual, as famílias mais pobres tiveram uma menor variação no valor da cesta real de consumo. As transferências totais de renda no período foram da ordem de R$70 bilhões e as transferências externas é o vetor que mais puxou esse resultado de transferência de renda do setor agropecuário à sociedade. A contribuição desse trabalho consistiu em captar as transferências geradas pelo progresso tecnológico no setor como forma de contribuir com a literatura ainda escassa sobre o tema.
Title in English
Technical progress in the agricultural sector and income transfer in Brazil
Keywords in English
CGE modelling
Income transfer
Productivity
Abstract in English
The economic growth of any economy is associated with the growth of its productivity. In the agricultural sector, this measure became notorious from the mid-1990s, associated with macroeconomic and sectoral reforms that took place in the country in the period. The increase in technical progress has an effect along the entire agricultural chain, resulting in effects on society and evaluating the distribution of these technological gains to economic agents such as producers and consumers is a subject still little explored in the literature. In this sense, the objective of this study was to estimate the transfer of income generated by the technological change in the Brazilian agricultural sector, that is, to evaluate to whom the income from agricultural production is destined. A dynamic-recursive interregional model of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) was used, TERM-BR, with information on area and production evolution of the agricultural sector in the period from 2005 to 2019. The results obtained indicated that technical progress in the agricultural sector from 2006 to 2019 resulted in economic benefits such as growth of 10.7% in real family consumption and 9.27% in GDP. It was also possible to capture effects on family consumption, in which the poorest families had a smaller variation in the value of the real consumption basket. Total income transfers in the period were around R$70 billion and external transfers are the main driver of this income transfer result from the agricultural sector to society. The contribution of this work consisted in capturing the transfers generated by technological progress in the sector as a way of contributing to the still scarce literature on the subject.
 
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Publishing Date
2022-07-15
 
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