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Master's Dissertation
DOI
https://doi.org/10.11606/D.45.2012.tde-25072012-143548
Document
Author
Full name
Lina Dornelas Thomas
E-mail
Institute/School/College
Knowledge Area
Date of Defense
Published
São Paulo, 2012
Supervisor
Committee
Iambartsev, Anatoli (President)
Leonardi, Florencia Graciela
Soukhov, Iouri Mikhailovich
Title in Portuguese
Construção de redes usando estatística clássica e Bayesiana - uma comparação
Keywords in Portuguese
correlação parcial
estatística Bayesiana
método inverso
redes
Abstract in Portuguese
Nesta pesquisa, estudamos e comparamos duas maneiras de se construir redes. O principal objetivo do nosso estudo é encontrar uma forma efetiva de se construir redes, especialmente quando temos menos observações do que variáveis. A construção das redes é realizada através da estimação do coeficiente de correlação parcial com base na estatística clássica (inverse method) e na Bayesiana (priori conjugada Normal - Wishart invertida). No presente trabalho, para resolver o problema de se ter menos observações do que variáveis, propomos uma nova metodologia, a qual chamamos correlação parcial local, que consiste em selecionar, para cada par de variáveis, as demais variáveis que apresentam maior coeficiente de correlação com o par. Aplicamos essas metodologias em dados simulados e as comparamos traçando curvas ROC. O resultado mais atrativo foi que, mesmo com custo computacional alto, usar inferência Bayesiana é melhor quando temos menos observações do que variáveis. Em outros casos, ambas abordagens apresentam resultados satisfatórios.
Title in English
Building complex networks through classical and Bayesian statistics - a comparison
Keywords in English
Bayesian statistics
complex networks
inverse method
partial correlation
Abstract in English
This research is about studying and comparing two different ways of building complex networks. The main goal of our study is to find an effective way to build networks, particularly when we have fewer observations than variables. We construct networks estimating the partial correlation coefficient on Classic Statistics (Inverse Method) and on Bayesian Statistics (Normal - Invese Wishart conjugate prior). In this current work, in order to solve the problem of having less observations than variables, we propose a new methodology called local partial correlation, which consists of selecting, for each pair of variables, the other variables most correlated to the pair. We applied these methods on simulated data and compared them through ROC curves. The most atractive result is that, even though it has high computational costs, to use Bayesian inference is better when we have less observations than variables. In other cases, both approaches present satisfactory results.
 
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dissertacao.pdf (3.06 Mbytes)
Publishing Date
2012-08-13
 
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